The Point at which You Realize Your Team Doesn't Have Enough

Four of the five guys that started against Game 7 last year are gone.  Steven Adams and Fred VanVleet are injured and Jalen Green and Dillion Brooks are in Phoenix.

What do we have left and what are the problems?

Kevin Durant.  All Star.  Get fired from the Knicks level minutes.  This will catch up to the team in the playoffs.  This team was promised to be deep enough for Kevin to rest but instead he has to play major minutes for them to win.

Alperen Sengun.  All Star.  Did not take enough time to mend that ankle, which will also catchup with the team later.

Real quick ... who's the third best player?

Amen Thompson.  You can't be a star in this league if you can't shoot.  Everyone talks about the three but the guy can't shoot from the free throw area or the wings either.  If Sengun and Durant have gravity, Amen has anti-gravity.  Watching the Spurs flee from him to pack up on other people was painful because it worked really well.

Jabari Smith.  There are no signs that he will ever develop a more complete game.  He's getting paid a lot to be an average to below average three guy and an average to above average D guy.  Would anybody trade for him and take on that salary?  If you aren't going to blossom into baby Kevin Durant, can you at least give me 40% on threes?

Tari Eason.  Probably the more complete player than Jabari.  The team has also stuck him in the three and D box but there seems to be more there.  This may have been the reason talks broke down this off season.

Reed Sheppard.  There are blinding flashes of Steph Curry with defense and dunks.  But just flashes.  It would be fun to see him leading a bad team.  Ime seems to be using him as a microwave off the bench and this doesn't always work.

Josh Okogie and Dorian Finney-Smith.  Josh has been a positive surprise.  DFS doesn't look like he's 100% ready after being so terribly injured.

Clint Capela.  It is good to have him back.  More will be asked of him now.  He's looked much older than he is at times, and sometimes looked like his old self.

Those are the ten guys who will get the minutes the rest of this season.

Texas Fought

 Records vs. Other Currently Ranked Teams

If teams are going to a be ranked solely by wins and losses how about if we sorted them the same way but excluded wins over teams that aren't ranked?

The CFP field will include 12 of these and almost certainly exclude Texas.

4-1 Georgia

3-0 TT (BYU twice and UTAH + bad loss)

-

3-2 Texas

Wins over current #7, #8 and #13

Losses to current #2 and #3

+ bad loss

-

3-2 Oklahoma (lost to Texas)

3-2 Alabama (+ bad loss)

2-0 Indiana

2-1 OSU

2-1 A&M (lost to Texas)

2-1 Ole Miss

1-1 Oregon

1-0 Miami (+ two bad losses)

1-2 Vandy (lost to Texas)

1-2 BYU

0-2 Notre Dame

0-1 Tulane (+ bad loss)

0-0 James Madison (+ bad loss)

So, there are teams at the bottom here with no serious wins and Miami's win was over Notre Dame. 

Alabama has a bad loss to Florida State.  Alabama lost to Oklahoma who lost to Texas.  So, the committee is saying that Texas bad loss to Florida trumps everything else.

They are also sending a clear message that big wins and big game record don't matter.

Line up the cupcakes, please.

If the tournament was 16 teams, these would probably be them.  If I was picking 12 teams solely to have the very best tournament, I'd kick out Miami, Notre Dame, Tulane and James Madison.  BYU sneaks in and who doesn't want to see Vandy in?  But they won't make it, either.

Final question.  Is Texas one of the 12 best teams in the country?  Yes.

Supermax, RFA, and two way deals

 The last CBA was meant to do a lot of things.  In a nutshell, it was meant to blunt free spending teams and prevent teams from buying championships (looking at you in the blue) and protect and enrich players.

But unintended consequences are inevitable.

Super max

Was the trade value of Luka and Fox reduced last season because they would inevitably be do the super max if they stayed with their own teams?  Did Damion Lillard's super max almost destroy two teams?  Portland had to get rid of him and Milwaukie had to waive and stretch him when injured to have any chance to build a team.  How will OKC do with three players on the super max way, way over the second apron?  What will happen to an already tight Denver team when an aging Jokic is due another super max deal?

RFA

Is restricted free agency working as intended?  It was meant to make teams move more quickly to secure their players and / or to give players leverage should it come to pass.  But, instead Quentin Grimes and Jonathon Kuminga had zero leverage when they reached RFA.  That is because no teams have any money to spend.

Rafael Stone has made, what I think, are the right moves signing his young players early in exchange for team friendly-ish deals.  The clock is ticking on Tari Eason, so it'll be interesting to see how the team handles this one.  Tari is not at the level of Amen or Sengun.  I'm sure the team wants to keep him but the calculation is different.  Are there going to be teams willing to spend big for him next summer?

Two way

JD Davison has looked very good in a limited run with the Rockets this pre-season and according to reports, at training camp.  We'll see if that continues.  The Rockets are thin at guard after FVV's injury.  Two way deals were meant to give G League players a chance to prove themselves and earn regular NBA contracts.  But with the Rocket largely hamstrung by the cap, they don't have the room to sign him (or anyone else) to the minimum.  Again, cap wizard Stone will probably find a way to maximize his two way time and find a way to get him a shorter term deal that fits cap space.  Or magically move things around to create cap space.  But again, I think the intention here is up against reality.  The Rockets in an injury situation should be able to sign a veteran or firm up one of their two way players without severe cap penalties.   Cap penalties against a team are so severe that the only logical thing to do is to not reward a good player.

Apple would like to sell you a purse

 Because their phones are too big for human hands or normal clothes pockets.

C'mon.  Doesn't the existence of this thing mean something is wrong?

Sengun vs Parsons

 Rafael Stone is the opposite of Jerry Jones.

Not champs yet

 The Longhorns start the season against the champs tomorrow.

The Cowboys start the season against the champs on Thursday.

The Rockets start the season against the champs in a few weeks.

How about that?

Reed thoughts after the Summer League wraps up

The Rockets drafted a kid with Steph Curry potential and seem to be trying to turn him into a Holiday brother (no offense to them, it is a different style of play.)

We watched Alpi's offensive game suffer a bit last year as he focused more on defense.  Was this the right choice?  Alpi is unquestionably top five at the five on offense.  So, what's the ceiling?  How about develop that more and let him be just ok on defense?  Isn't that a better plus/minus equation for the team?

It is a very limited sample, but did we see this at the summer league with Reed?  We sure as heck saw that sweet, pure stroke.  It was breathtaking at times.  But then we saw him throwing his little body around on D, trying to get rebounds and protect the rim but as a result he sometimes seemed gassed on the other end.

In the current Rockets culture, you've got to play high effort D.  But does he have to do it to the extent that he's air balling on the other end?  What shooting percentage do we get from this kid on offense if he's just out on the wing on another shooter on defense.  Isn't that also a better plus/minus play?

It is hard to imagine that he will ever start or even be the next option behind FVV in the Rockets current format.

And goodbye to Cam Whitmore and yes, it is related.  What an athlete.  Unfortunately, the Rocket refused to use this man as an offensive spark plug and let his defense be decent or develop to a decent level.  So, they straight up threw him away.

If they continue on this path with Reed, they are going to have to throw him away too.  He's not going to be a top level defender this year.  Aaron Holiday is a superior defender and I wouldn't be surprised to see him in the second line instead of Reed.  So, then, what?  You turn another lottery pick into two second rounds picks again?

It'll be interesting to watch.